Playing for Championships - December 6th

OJ is guilty.  In other news, water is wet and sky is blue...

12:00 #17 Boston College at # 25 Va Tech abc
This one is for the ACC championship and a trip to a BCS bowl.  Both teams backed into this one and I'm expecting the Hokies will want to back out in the 3d quarter.  The Hokies offense is just terrible and their D and special teams has kept them in the mix.  When BC is on offense their slow but efficient.  They don't try to pass very much but when they do, they are usually high percentage and it shows.  When Va tech has the ball, look for BC to be playing in their backfield.  Va Tech will have to rely on the run because of BC's strong pass efficiency D.   

Hokies are getting 1 point.  I'd bet on BC to cover on a neutral field.


3:00 #1 Alabama at #4 Florida CBS
This one in the Georgia Dome is for the SEC championship and a chance to play on January 8th.   Look for both teams to have moderate success in the run game since each rushing D is 8-12 positions better than the other's rushing O.  Florida should have quite a bit of success passing the ball with their #2 rated pass efficiency matching up against Bama's 52nd ranked pass efficiency D.  Florida should find some success in special teams when Bama (70) in punting punts to their 7th ranked return team.  Bama gives up .75 more turnovers than they get and that's 7 points for the #3 ranked Scoring offense. 


Florida is giving 10 points.  I think they cover with our with out feeding their Percy.


7:00 #2 Oklahoma at #20 Missouri abc
On a neutral field in Kansas City, MISSOURI where the Tiger fans have known for weeks that they were going to the championship and bought most of the tickets, OU is playing for crystal balls and Mizzou is playing for potato chips.  When Oklahoma has the ball, Mizzou can count on slowing the rush down, but they won't get enough pressure on Bradford to make him make mistakes.  Oklahoma's #1 ranked scoring offense will put points on the board through the air.  The difference here is going to be pass efficiency and turnovers.  The Sooners' 2nd ranked pass efficiency offense will carve Mizzou's 80th ranked pass efficiency D.  Mizzou's 7th ranked pass efficiency O will score on the Sooners 38th ranked pass eff D, but about half as much as the sooners.  Mizzou will take advantage of stronger special teams and have a short field to work with.  Mizzou will turn one over and that's 7 for the OU offense.  OU wins the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. 

Oklahoma is giving 17.  On this neutral field, OU covers.

Next up...


 
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