What are you looking at? Saturday Sept 2, 2011

The meat has been rubbed and the tailgate gear is loaded.  Tomorrow is the big day. 

Just to recap, I'm 1-0 on my picks for the season.  Wisconsin blistered Nevada who gave up on the run game waaaaaaay to early in my opinion.  Nevada was ripping them up the middle.  And Wildcats eeked one out against the Hilltoppers and once again proved why OJ likes to hide out in Lexington.  Because nobody would look for a Heisman trophy winner in Lexington. 

Here's what I've got cooking on Saturday.  Smoked brisket tacos with an asian slaw and pulled pork sandwiches on corn bread rolls with an apple slaw.  And here's what I'll be watching.

2:30 NBC
USF at #16 Notre Dame

While I don't think that Skip Holtz has had enough time to turn the Bulls around, I think that South Florida is underrated and had a pretty decent team last year and they bring back a good number of starters from an 8-5 team with the mental toughness to win two games in OT on the road last year.  The Bulls had a top third defense last year and that should stay consistent.  The Irish come into the season overrated because of their name.  Brian Kelly has had some time to put his system in place but he has a lot of work to do with a team who's run game (92nd) was non-existent and their special teams looked more like special ed. 
The Irish are giving 8.5.  While I'm cheering against the Catholics (47), I think their depth gives them the edge to cover. 


Unfortunately the best two games are on while I be sweating it off at Owen Field (and not the one I'm watching). 

7:00 ABC
#3 Oregon vs #4 LSU

It's the probation bowl in Jerry World.  Not sure what the mad hatter has in his hat for this one.  This one is really a battle between Oregon's offense (#1 in total offense and scoring offense lsat year) and LSU's defense(#11th scoring D) last year.  LSU is going to struggle getting out of it's own way to score just like last year (86th in total offense last year).  They should have home field advantage in Dallas.  The spread is LSU minus 3.  I think Oregon speed on the edges and the fact that LSU is missing JJ helps the Ducks win.

7:00 ESPN
#5 Boise State at #19 Georgia

Mark Richt is on the hot seat.  Georgia was a pretty serviceable team in 2011 with their biggest flaw being their run game (#73 rushing offense).   Kellen Moore is missing one of his top targets and the Broncos have two other starter who are being held out and it doesn't matter.  All Chris Peterson does is come in to tough environments and win.  Boise State's defense will be a difference maker against an inexperienced Dawg offense. 
Georgia is getting 2.5 at home.  I'm taking the Bronco's to cover.

7:00 FX
Tulsa at #1 Oklahoma

Sooner fans need to remember that there's only one ranking that counts and it's not the one at the beginning of the season.  Tulsa is no slouch and comes in off of a 10-3 season last year, a salty offense that can score some points and a 7 game winning streak.  Sooners start out the season missing a couple key pieces of their defense that was pretty good against the pass (#8 pass efficiency D) but not so great on the run (58th rushing D).  This is a bit of a rivalry game for Tulsa and their players will come in with something to prove to the in state team that overlooked them.
The Sooners are giving 22 and barring the appearance of Dirty Landry Jones the Sooners will cover (just barely). 

And since I didn't pick tonight's game against the spread.  TCU is giving 10 points to Baylor.  TCU's stingy defense is enough to cover.  

Fear the Smurf Turf.

 
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